SC Telstar vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 0
TEL
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
HEL
1 - 1
TEL
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 2
GRA
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
BOS
0 - 1
TEL
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
TEL
3 - 1
VVV
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 1
VOL
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
MVV
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 0
ACH
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |