SC Telstar vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
TEL
1 - 2
HEL
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
TEL
1 - 1
BVO
16%
20%
64%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
BVO
3 - 1
TEL
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
TEL
2 - 2
VOL
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
BVV
1 - 1
TEL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
FCE
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
12%
20%
69%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
EXC
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
EXC
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |