SC Telstar vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
BOS
1 - 1
TEL
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
TEL
0 - 1
EIN
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
BVV
0 - 2
TEL
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
TEL
1 - 1
FCD
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
VOL
0 - 0
TEL
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 0
EIN
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
APE
1 - 1
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
BOS
0 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
BVV
2 - 1
EXC
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |