Stord vs Vard II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KIL
2 - 0
STO
9%
16%
76%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
STO
1 - 1
RFK
76%
13%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 1
STO
27%
20%
53%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
STO
2 - 3
HAU
69%
15%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
STO
2 - 2
VIK
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vard II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIK
16%
18%
66%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
AIL
1 - 0
VAR
67%
17%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
OTF
4 - 1
VAR
64%
18%
19%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 3
SJI
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |