Stop Out vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
65.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
10º
10º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
STO
87%
8%
4%
|
12 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
STO
88%
8%
4%
|
13 | 51 | 38 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
NAP
11%
14%
75%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NWA
3 - 1
STO
40%
20%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PET
3 - 3
STO
50%
20%
29%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 4
WSU
31%
22%
48%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
0 - 5
WEL
10%
15%
75%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NAP
7 - 1
WKA
64%
17%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
0 - 1
MIR
33%
20%
46%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
3 - 3
NWA
82%
11%
7%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |