Stop Out vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
55.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
9º
8º
18
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
STO
4 - 2
MIR
10%
13%
77%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
STO
0 - 4
WSU
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
8 - 2
STO
69%
16%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
4 - 1
STO
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 4
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 3
WKA
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
WKA
5 - 1
NWA
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 2
WKA
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 0
WSU
32%
21%
48%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 3
WEL
12%
15%
73%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |