Stony Brook vs UMass Lowell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stony Brook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
NJH
1 - 2
SBS
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MBC
1 - 3
SBS
50%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SBS
1 - 3
HHH
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BUB
1 - 0
SBS
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SBS
2 - 0
VER
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
UMass Lowell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
UML
1 - 2
UAY
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UML
0 - 1
BUB
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UML
2 - 1
MBC
30%
22%
47%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NJH
2 - 1
UML
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
UML
2 - 1
SBS
32%
22%
47%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |