Stolem Gniewino vs Jarota Jarocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
9º
18º
13º
33
7º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stolem Gniewino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIN
2 - 0
STO
34%
22%
44%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STO
3 - 1
SOK
23%
20%
57%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +4 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
USK
1 - 1
STO
11%
16%
73%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
STO
0 - 3
SKO
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
STO
1 - 2
STA
35%
21%
44%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jarota Jarocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 1
GGD
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
5 - 1
JAR
86%
11%
4%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 2
PSR
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
JAR
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 1
UNI
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |