Stirling University II vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stirling University II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
STI
7 - 2
TYN
76%
15%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
STI
6 - 2
CIV
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
STI
19%
22%
58%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
STI
3 - 0
GRE
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
STI
2 - 1
EDI
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TYN
2 - 0
HER
44%
24%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
GRE
47%
23%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
0 - 2
HER
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
EDI
1 - 1
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
AFC
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |