Stilon Gorzów vs Zielona Góra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
62.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
9º
16º
12º
47
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stilon Gorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SGO
2 - 3
KLU
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STB
0 - 2
SGO
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SGO
1 - 1
WRO
6%
15%
79%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RAK
4 - 0
SGO
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SGO
2 - 3
GOR
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Zielona Góra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ZIE
1 - 0
STB
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WRO
5 - 2
ZIE
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ZIE
2 - 1
POD
10%
15%
75%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ZIE
1 - 1
RAK
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GOR
3 - 1
ZIE
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |