Stevo vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TVC
2 - 1
STE
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RHE
3 - 0
STE
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
STE
2 - 1
ENS
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GER
0 - 1
STE
79%
13%
7%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
STE
1 - 3
BAB
51%
24%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALV
1 - 2
AWC
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BEM
2 - 2
ALV
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
3 - 3
SDO
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GLA
0 - 3
ALV
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 1
ACH
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |