Stevo vs Achilles '12 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
STE
0 - 5
ALV
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TVC
2 - 1
STE
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RHE
3 - 0
STE
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
STE
2 - 1
ENS
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GER
0 - 1
STE
79%
13%
7%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 0
AWC
37%
23%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BEM
4 - 2
ACH
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ACH
5 - 1
SDO
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GLA
5 - 0
ACH
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 5
PRE
54%
22%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |