Stevenage vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
76.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
STE
3 - 1
SCU
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
STE
1 - 0
CAM
25%
28%
47%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
STE
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CUM
4 - 0
STE
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
STE
0 - 0
SOU
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
SWA
2 - 1
WAT
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
SWA
0 - 0
REA
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
QPR
0 - 2
SWA
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SWA
2 - 0
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
DER
2 - 0
SWA
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |