Stevenage vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
65.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STE
2 - 1
LUT
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
LEY
3 - 0
STE
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 1
STE
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
IPS
0 - 1
STE
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
STE
1 - 2
CRE
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STO
1 - 4
MAC
20%
23%
57%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MID
1 - 1
STO
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HSV
1 - 0
STO
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
ORL
1 - 2
STO
34%
26%
39%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
PNE
1 - 1
STO
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |