FA Cup 1/32
Global 0-3
Stevenage vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
61.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
STE
4 - 1
CHE
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 0
STE
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
LIN
3 - 0
STE
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
STE
5 - 1
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
EXE
2 - 1
STE
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
REA
0 - 2
BIR
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
REA
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 0
REA
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
BUR
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
IPS
2 - 0
REA
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |