Stevenage vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
SWI
1 - 0
STE
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
STE
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
STE
2 - 1
GRI
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
WYC
0 - 1
STE
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
COL
3 - 1
STE
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 2
FOR
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
COL
0 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 2
BRA
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
POR
3 - 1
MOR
60%
21%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 2
WOL
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |