Stevenage vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
3 - 1
STE
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 3
STE
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
STE
2 - 2
TRA
39%
26%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
STE
0 - 1
WAT
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
STN
0 - 3
STE
29%
24%
48%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
PNE
3 - 1
MOR
78%
15%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
EXE
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CRE
6 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 3
FLE
26%
25%
50%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
MOR
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |