Stevenage vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
STE
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
MAI
2 - 1
STE
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
STE
5 - 1
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
STE
0 - 0
MAI
43%
24%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 2
STE
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
OPA
3 - 0
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 0
BCF
28%
26%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DOV
1 - 0
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
STA
2 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
EXE
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |