Stevenage vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
STE
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 2
STE
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
STE
1 - 0
SCA
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
HAL
2 - 1
STE
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
STE
3 - 1
FAR
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
CRA
2 - 1
MOR
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
HAL
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
YOR
1 - 0
MOR
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
MOR
4 - 0
CAN
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2005 |
CUM
3 - 3
MOR
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |