Stevenage vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
EBB
2 - 1
STE
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
STE
3 - 1
NUN
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 1
STE
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
STE
5 - 0
FAR
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +3 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
KET
1 - 0
STE
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 1
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2003 |
NUN
1 - 1
MOR
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
YEO
2 - 0
MOR
52%
24%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
IPS
4 - 0
MOR
78%
15%
8%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 3
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |