FA Trophy Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Stevenage vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
STE
1 - 0
HIS
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
KID
1 - 5
STE
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
STE
4 - 0
BAR
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
STE
2 - 0
CRA
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
EAS
0 - 6
STE
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
3 - 1
KID
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
KID
1 - 5
STE
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
EAS
0 - 0
KID
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
KID
2 - 2
EBB
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
KID
3 - 0
HIS
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |