Stevenage vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
STE
1 - 1
SCU
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
YEO
1 - 0
STE
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
SUT
0 - 0
STE
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 2
STE
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
STE
1 - 0
COL
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
CUM
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 2
STF
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 1
LIN
23%
24%
54%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 0
WAL
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 2
TOW
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |