Stevenage vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
STE
0 - 1
MOR
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
STE
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 2
STE
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
STE
1 - 0
SCA
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
HAL
2 - 1
STE
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 2
STE
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
DAG
1 - 0
CUM
44%
26%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
CUM
2 - 2
EBB
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
SCA
1 - 1
CUM
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
CRA
1 - 0
CUM
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |