Stevenage vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
YOR
3 - 1
STE
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
BAR
3 - 1
STE
62%
20%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
STE
4 - 1
NOR
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
FAR
0 - 3
STE
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
EXE
2 - 0
STE
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CAN
0 - 0
MOR
25%
22%
53%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
WOK
1 - 0
CAN
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
CAN
2 - 2
CRA
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CAN
0 - 1
HAL
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
FAR
1 - 3
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |