Steve Biko vs Greater Tomorrow FA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
+5
1.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
19.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
22.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
10º
10º
32
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
72.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
54.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Steve Biko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
STE
0 - 0
ARM
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
STE
1 - 0
WAL
37%
32%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
STE
0 - 0
BAN
43%
31%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
STE
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
RHI
35%
31%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Greater Tomorrow FA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2023 |
GTA
1 - 1
REA
13%
23%
64%
|
18 | 64 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
GTA
73%
19%
8%
|
18 | 64 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GTA
1 - 2
WAA
15%
26%
59%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
GTA
1 - 0
ARM
11%
20%
69%
|
17 | 64 | 47 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 2
GTA
77%
17%
6%
|
16 | 64 | 48 | +1 |