Stenum vs BW Papenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
72%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
BWP
4 - 4
STE
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
STE
0 - 2
ESE
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 0
STE
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
STE
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
STE
1 - 2
GAR
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
BWP
4 - 4
STE
82%
12%
7%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BWP
3 - 1
SCH
30%
21%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +4 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SCM
6 - 0
BWP
71%
17%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BWP
3 - 1
ESE
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 2
BWP
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |