Stenum vs Esens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 0
STE
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
STE
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
STE
1 - 2
GAR
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TDI
1 - 1
STE
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
STE
2 - 0
GWM
17%
18%
64%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Esens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 4
ESE
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BWP
3 - 1
ESE
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ESE
0 - 0
HAN
42%
22%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 1
ESE
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ESE
2 - 2
TDI
14%
17%
70%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |