Steinfort vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Steinfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
USS
2 - 1
STE
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JEU
0 - 2
STE
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
STE
4 - 0
BER
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CBG
2 - 3
STE
23%
23%
53%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
STE
0 - 2
YBW
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
UME
1 - 1
CBG
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
YBW
1 - 1
UME
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
UME
3 - 8
ESC
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
UME
55%
22%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
UME
2 - 2
MUN
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |