UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 4-3
FCSB vs Trenčín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PAN
0 - 3
STB
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
TRE
0 - 2
STB
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
STB
0 - 0
PET
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
STB
0 - 1
TAR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
STB
2 - 1
FCR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ZEM
0 - 1
TRE
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
TRE
0 - 2
STB
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
TRE
6 - 1
SIG
67%
18%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
DUK
2 - 1
TRE
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
BOH
0 - 3
TRE
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |