UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 3-0
FCSB vs Stromsgodset IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
STR
0 - 1
STB
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
STB
1 - 1
AST
44%
23%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
STB
1 - 1
AEL
50%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 4
STB
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
STB
2 - 4
LUD
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
STR
0 - 2
VIF
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
STR
0 - 1
STB
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
BBS
0 - 1
STR
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
STR
1 - 0
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
AAB
2 - 2
STR
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |