FCSB vs Farul Constanța analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
4º
2º
53
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 1
STB
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
SSG
1 - 2
STB
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
STB
1 - 1
CSU
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
STB
1 - 0
SSG
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UTA
3 - 1
STB
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 2
CSU
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 1
SFC
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 0
SFC
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 1
SSG
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 1
RAP
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |