UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 3-5
FCSB vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
STB
1 - 1
CLU
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
STB
2 - 3
TRE
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PAN
0 - 3
STB
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
TRE
0 - 2
STB
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
STB
0 - 0
PET
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
6 - 0
JAG
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
GOR
0 - 2
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
4 - 0
MET
82%
14%
5%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
GOR
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
4 - 1
VAS
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |