Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 3-1
FCSB vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
AST
3 - 4
STB
42%
30%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
STB
1 - 0
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CLU
1 - 1
STB
52%
26%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
STB
3 - 2
DBU
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
STB
49%
28%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
TNV
1 - 1
SMY
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
SLR
1 - 1
TNV
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
TNV
3 - 1
SLR
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
TNV
0 - 0
KOS
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
NIT
0 - 2
TNV
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |