Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 3-1
FCSB vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
STB
2 - 1
UCL
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
STB
4 - 0
MIO
73%
19%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VOI
1 - 1
STB
23%
30%
47%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
GAL
1 - 0
STB
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
DBU
1 - 2
STB
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CSK
1 - 0
CHB
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 2
CSK
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 3
CSK
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 2
PAO
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 1
AKA
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |