UCL Qualifying Third Stage Final
Global 4-2
FCSB vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
CLU
0 - 0
STB
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
BAT
2 - 2
STB
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
STB
1 - 0
POL
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
STB
2 - 1
ZAL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
FAR
0 - 1
STB
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
TOR
0 - 1
BAT
28%
28%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SSH
0 - 2
BAT
14%
20%
66%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
BAT
2 - 2
STB
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
BAT
4 - 1
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
BAT
1 - 1
FHH
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |