UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 4-3
FCSB vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
STB
3 - 1
CSU
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 2
STB
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
RAP
1 - 3
STB
47%
26%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
STB
2 - 0
STR
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
STR
0 - 1
STB
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 0
TAR
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 2
STB
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
FCI
1 - 1
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
3 - 0
DTB
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
DTB
0 - 1
FCA
64%
20%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |