Staveley MW vs Lutterworth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
44.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Staveley MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
STA
4 - 2
BOS
35%
21%
43%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
STA
0 - 1
BAS
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
STA
2 - 1
LOU
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 2
WIN
51%
22%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HAN
6 - 0
STA
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lutterworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LUT
2 - 1
HEA
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |