Start Otwock vs Warta Sieradz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
3 - 0
SOT
41%
27%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
OKL
1 - 1
SOT
36%
26%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
SOT
3 - 1
WSI
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
RAD
1 - 1
SOT
69%
20%
11%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SOT
1 - 2
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Warta Sieradz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WSI
0 - 1
OKL
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
ZRP
0 - 0
WSI
40%
25%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
SOT
3 - 1
WSI
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
WSI
4 - 2
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
HWP
0 - 3
WSI
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |