Start Otwock vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MKP
0 - 2
SOT
38%
27%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SOT
5 - 1
WSI
59%
23%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
3 - 0
SOT
41%
27%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
OKL
1 - 1
SOT
36%
26%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
SOT
3 - 1
WSI
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
UWA
3 - 2
OKL
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ZRP
3 - 4
UWA
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
UWA
2 - 0
WIE
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
LTM
1 - 1
UWA
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 3
UWA
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |