Start Otwock vs Targówek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
LWA
2 - 3
SOT
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SOT
4 - 2
WIE
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
OKL
1 - 3
SOT
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
SOT
0 - 0
LKS
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UWA
4 - 2
SOT
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Targówek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
TAR
2 - 5
PEL
27%
24%
48%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LWA
2 - 2
TAR
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 4
SWI
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
WIE
2 - 2
TAR
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
TAR
2 - 0
LTM
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |