Start Otwock vs Targówek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WZP
5 - 2
SOT
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SOT
3 - 1
OWP
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
KSL
2 - 1
SOT
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SOT
1 - 2
UWA
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MKP
0 - 2
SOT
38%
27%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Targówek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 2
OKL
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ZRP
0 - 3
TAR
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 3
WIE
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LTM
2 - 0
TAR
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 6
BRA
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |