Start Otwock vs Mazur Karczew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SOT
4 - 2
ZRP
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SOT
1 - 2
LTM
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WIE
1 - 1
SOT
35%
24%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 3
SOT
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SOT
2 - 1
KFC
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Mazur Karczew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MKP
1 - 1
KFC
15%
23%
62%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MKP
0 - 1
LTM
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
MKP
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PGM
3 - 0
MKP
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MKP
1 - 0
TAR
61%
22%
18%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |