Start Otwock vs Mazur Karczew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
SOT
54%
22%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SOT
1 - 1
HWP
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
OKL
0 - 0
SOT
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SOT
1 - 2
WZP
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
OWP
0 - 0
SOT
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mazur Karczew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
MKP
2 - 2
UWA
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
MKP
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MKP
2 - 1
WSI
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HWP
0 - 2
MKP
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
MKP
0 - 1
RAD
25%
26%
49%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |