Start Otwock vs Legia Warszawa II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PGM
1 - 0
SOT
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SOT
2 - 2
BRA
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SOT
0 - 3
LKS
13%
21%
66%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PBI
4 - 0
SOT
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
SOT
1 - 3
EKO
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LWA
0 - 2
LKS
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PBI
1 - 2
LWA
25%
21%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
BLR
0 - 0
LWA
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LWA
4 - 0
OPR
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
1 - 1
LWA
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |