Start Otwock vs Jeziorak Ilawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SOT
1 - 1
KOL
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
SOT
0 - 1
RCH
13%
22%
64%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
KPW
0 - 3
SOT
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SOT
2 - 0
PEL
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
RWM
0 - 0
SOT
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jeziorak Ilawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
JEZ
1 - 1
HET
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
KOL
0 - 1
JEZ
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
JEZ
0 - 0
KPW
54%
24%
21%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PEL
0 - 1
JEZ
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
JEZ
0 - 0
RWM
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |