Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 4-2
Standard de Liège vs Xanthi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SDL
3 - 0
LIE
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
XAN
1 - 2
SDL
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
KVM
0 - 2
SDL
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SDL
3 - 1
KRR
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
KRR
1 - 3
SDL
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Xanthi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
XAN
1 - 2
SDL
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
XAN
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
XAN
0 - 1
LIN
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
XAN
0 - 0
ARI
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PAN
3 - 3
XAN
47%
28%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |