Europa League Knock-outs 1/16
Global 1-1
Standard de Liège vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ZUL
4 - 2
SDL
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
WIS
1 - 1
SDL
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SDL
1 - 2
AND
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 2
SDL
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
SDL
28%
27%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ZAL
2 - 2
WIS
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
WIS
1 - 1
SDL
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
WIS
1 - 0
OBK
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MID
3 - 2
WIS
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HEL
0 - 2
WIS
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |