UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 3-4
Standard de Liège vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
SDL
1 - 2
CHA
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
LOK
2 - 1
SDL
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
SDL
0 - 2
GEN
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
KSV
0 - 0
SDL
27%
27%
47%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
AND
2 - 0
SDL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
STB
3 - 0
FCU
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
STB
3 - 0
GOR
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2006 |
STB
2 - 3
DBU
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
TIM
0 - 0
STB
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
GOR
0 - 2
STB
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |