Europa League Last 16
Global 5-2
Standard de Liège vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
SDL
3 - 2
MOL
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
KFC
2 - 0
SDL
24%
26%
49%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
SDL
3 - 0
CER
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
SDL
2 - 1
KAI
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
BER
3 - 0
SDL
17%
26%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
SGD
3 - 1
MAG
65%
19%
16%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
BFC
2 - 1
SGD
55%
22%
23%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
SGD
3 - 1
FVF
85%
11%
5%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
SGD
0 - 0
TWE
74%
17%
10%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
BCB
0 - 2
SGD
18%
20%
62%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |