UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 2-1
Standard de Liège vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
SDL
3 - 0
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
SDL
2 - 1
PAO
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
SDL
0 - 0
AAB
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SDL
1 - 0
GNK
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
LOK
1 - 3
SDL
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
PAN
2 - 1
ATR
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
PAN
0 - 1
PAN
8%
20%
72%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
GDA
4 - 0
PAN
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
ARK
0 - 1
PAN
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
PAO
1 - 0
PAN
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |